Wright: ~80% of normal; Kpler: ME exports ≈ prewar
JMIC: transits ~70% below prewar; IRGC: 'completely closed'
Assessment: Contested; bypass pipelines could reconcile Kpler with JMIC
| Time (UTC) | Outlet | Claim |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 12:00 ≈ | JMIC | 254 transits, ~70% below prewar |
| 2026-10-18 18:00 ≈ | US Energy Dept (Wright) | shipments ~80% of normal |
| 2026-10-20 12:31 | Bloomberg Markets | Kpler: ME exports fractionally above prewar |
| 2026-10-20 17:46 | gCaptain | counter: relays JMIC transit count |
| 2026-10-20 18:25 | Al Mayadeen (Telegram) | counter: IRGC: strait completely closed |
Highlighted rows carry the opposing claim. ≈ = estimated time.
Every claim here is labelled by who made it and how far it is corroborated. Nothing on this page is authoritative — including this page.